Sharp selloffs on European Open
By Mon, 19 Jul 2021

Wall Street losses persisted through the Friday session, with the major indices all ending lower. Stocks got a brief boost from the stronger US retail sales data, though the dive in consumer sentiment, including upped inflation concerns took the wind out of the rally’s sails.

Today, in Asia session and on European open:

  • The 10-year Treasury yield were down and bonds were also supported with Australia’s 10-year down -4.4 bp at 1.233%, as stocks were hit by growth concerns. 
  • The September 10-year Bund future is up 42 ticks at 175.29, outperforming versus Treasury futures. GER30 and FTSE 100 futures are down -0.6% and -0.8% respectively
  • Reuters – Japan kept the overall assessment of its economy unchanged for a second straight month in July, retaining the view that conditions remain severe due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • Tech stocks struggled. – China’s cradown on Tech giants AlibabaBaiduJD.com and Pinduoduo extending low amid new anti-monopoly and data security rules in China.
  • Reports of issues with Japan’s supply chain have been noted, with suppliers in countries such as Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam falling behind on production due to covid shutdowns
  • Zoom Video Communications Inc ZM.O , the videoconferencing service that became a household name globally during the pandemic, plans to parlay some of the resulting rise in its share price into a $14.7 billion acquisition to secure growth
  • Oil prices declined on oversupply worries – OPEC and its allies agreed to ease output restrictions and ease supply cuts, including Russia agreed new production allocations and a gradual phasing out of supply cuts, that increase supply by around 400K barrels
  • Focus will remain on the covid spread around the region with the Delta variant continuing to cause worries.

FX markets: In FX markets the Yen was supported by safe haven demand, and USDJPY dropped back to 109.84, although the dollar climbed against most other currencies. EURUSD is little changed at 1.1803, while cable dropped to 1.3746. AUD hit its lowest level in 2021, at 0.7372.  USOIL stayed at $70.60-$71.60 barrier. Goldedged higher, lifted by a retreat in US Treasury yields and concerns that a surge in coronavirus cases could dampen global economic recovery, though an uptick in the dollar limited the safe-haven metal’s appeal.

Today –  The calendar is pretty empty to start the week, hence growth concerns are dominating and developments will add to expectations that the ECB will strengthen the dovish tone of the forward guidance at Thursday’s council meeting.

Biggest mover ar 8:30 GMT CADJPY with a -0.66% dip. The yen was supported by safe haven demand, while CAD dips on USOIL weakness. Agressive sellof of CADJPY broke all Suppport levels for the day with next Supoort at  86 and 200-day SMA at 85.78.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

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